Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 4892
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 10 Today
G4 4892 · MWA → YNG
departs 9:19 PM CT · arrives 12:02 AM ET
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 21h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at YNG more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±2 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at YNG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave MWA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at YNG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to YNG?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Arrivals into YNG at that hour are usually not late
↓
YNG usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MWA (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 1,233 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.04 in
YNG (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.