Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4820
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 10 Tomorrow
OO 4820 · DFW → GTR
departs 1:30 PM CT · arrives 3:13 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 AM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Sat 10/10
Sun 10/11 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at GTR more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±2 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
5%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at GTR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at GTR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to GTR?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 32 kt, cloud base down to 300 ft, 2.4 in of rain forecast at GTR that day
↑
1pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
DFW is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW
↓
GTR usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
GTR (destination)
Gusts 32 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 2.42 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.