Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2152
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 10
QX 2152 · PUW → SEA
departs 11:37 AM PT · arrives 12:53 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 31%
Fri 10/9 22%
Sat 10/10
Sun 10/11 22%
Mon 10/12 21%
Tue 10/13 18%
Wed 10/14 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±1 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave PUW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
SEA is prone to delays
↑
This route's recent record
↑
Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PUW
↓
11am departures from PUW are usually not late
Weather at each end
PUW (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SEA (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.