9E 4661 · CRW → ATL

took off 6:22 AM ET · landed 7:27 AM ET (scheduled 5:53 AM ET → 7:23 AM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to ATL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 2.1 in of rain forecast at CRW that day

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at ATL that day

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from CRW are usually not late

Weather at each end

CRW (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility1 mi Precip1.57 in

ATL (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 4661 · CRW → ATL

Odds over time

How late did it get to ATL?