9E 5024 · LGA → RDU

departs 8:28 AM ET · arrives 10:07 AM ET

Your aircraft is N308PQ (CRJ9), coming in as 9E 5355 from SYR: landed 7:05 AM ET.

Forecast issued Sun 6:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?

85% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to RDU?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at RDU that day

↑ Gusts to 27 kt, cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at LGA that day

↑ LGA is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.93 in

RDU (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.47 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5024 · LGA → RDU

Odds over time

How late will it get to RDU?