Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 5146 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Yesterday

9E 5146 · DTW → YYZ

departs 2:09 PM ET · arrives 3:25 PM EDT
Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Odds over time

Arrive at YYZ more than 15 minutes late?
22% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 5.8d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to YYZ?

  1. On time or early
    76%
  2. 15–30 min late
    10%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    6%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.