9E 5210 · HSV → LGA

took off 7:20 AM CT · landed 10:07 AM ET (scheduled 7:14 AM CT → 10:35 AM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±2 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to LGA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 27 kt, cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at LGA that day

↑ LGA is busy at that time

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at HSV that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 7am departures from HSV are usually not late

Weather at each end

HSV (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.17 in

LGA (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.28 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5210 · HSV → LGA

Odds over time

How late did it get to LGA?