Schedule: FAA flight plans.
ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 5357
SCHEDULED
Sunday, October 11 Today
9E 5357 · LGA → BTV
departs 11:33 AM ET · arrives 12:51 PM ET
Your aircraft is N181GJ (CRJ9), coming in as 9E 4977 from BHM: in the air, landing about 12:19 PM ET, 52 min after the scheduled departure (a tight turn, so this flight may leave late).
Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 10/12 16%
Tue 10/13 9%
Wed 10/14 14%
Thu 10/15 12%
Fri 10/16 19%
Sat 10/17 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at BTV more than 15 minutes late?
100%
chance · ±0 pts
+15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
100%
Leave 15+ late
100%
Arrive 1h+ late
93%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
5.6d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BTV more than 15 minutes late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 111 min after the scheduled departure, about 90 min late from the gate after a typical 21-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 33%.
+15 pts
100%
Yes 100%
No <1%
Leave LGA more than 15 minutes late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 111 min after the scheduled departure, about 90 min late from the gate after a typical 21-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 27%.
+7 pts
100%
Yes 100%
No 0%
Arrive at BTV more than an hour late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 111 min after the scheduled departure, about 90 min late from the gate after a typical 21-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 10%.
−2 pts
93%
Yes 93%
No 7%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to BTV?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 27 kt, cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at LGA that day
↑
LGA is prone to delays
↑
11am departures from LGA are often late
↓
9E's recent on-time record
↓
BTV usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
LGA (origin)
Gusts 27 kt
Ceiling 400 ft
Visibility 0.8 mi
Precip 0.85 in
BTV (destination)
Gusts 21 kt
Ceiling 4,500 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.