Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 1020 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 11 Tomorrow

9K 1020 · EIS → SJU

departs 3:32 PM AST · arrives 5:13 PM AT

Forecast issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · 28h before departure

Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±1 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SJU?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ SJU is prone to delays

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at SJU

↓ Other factors

↓ 3pm departures from EIS are usually not late

Weather at each end

EIS (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling1,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

SJU (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling6,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.07 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 1020 · EIS → SJU

Odds over time

How late will it get to SJU?