Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 1870 LANDED 8:00 AM ET, ~12 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 11 Today

9K 1870 · LEB → BOS

took off 7:15 AM ET · landed 8:00 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at LEB

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

LEB (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.08 in

BOS (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.18 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 1870 · LEB → BOS

Odds over time