Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Sunday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 3021 LANDED 1:35 PM ET, ~26 MIN LATE

Sunday, October 11 Yesterday

9K 3021 · MVY → BOS

took off 12:57 PM ET · landed 1:35 PM ET (scheduled 12:25 PM ET → 1:15 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to BOS?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Other factors

↑ 12pm departures from MVY are often late

↓ MVY is quiet at that time

↓ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at MVY that day

Weather at each end

MVY (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling560 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.61 in

BOS (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling740 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip1.23 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 3021 · MVY → BOS

Odds over time

How late did it get to BOS?