Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 615 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 11 Today

9K 615 · JFK → HYA

departs 12:05 PM ET · arrives 1:13 PM ET

Your aircraft is C402 (C402), coming in as 9K 615 from HYA: still at HYA, due off about 9:33 AM ET, 74 min before departure.

Forecast issued Sun 6:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at HYA more than 15 minutes late?

34% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 29 kt, cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at JFK that day

↑ JFK is prone to delays

↑ JFK is busy at that time

↓ Arrivals into HYA at that hour are usually not late

↓ HYA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

JFK (origin) Gusts29 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.93 in

HYA (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.25 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 615 · JFK → HYA

Odds over time