Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 70 LANDED 10:23 AM AST, ~48 MIN EARLY · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 11

9K 70 · AXA → STT

took off 9:49 AM AST · landed 10:23 AM AST (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at STT more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at STT that day

↑ Other factors

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at AXA

↓ Arrivals into STT at that hour are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

AXA (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

STT (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.18 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 70 · AXA → STT

Odds over time