Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 70 LANDED 8:40 AM AST, ~44 MIN EARLY · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 11 Today

9K 70 · STT → AXA

took off · landed 8:40 AM AST (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 6:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at AXA more than 15 minutes late?

10% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at STT that day

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Other factors

↓ 8am departures from STT are usually not late

↓ Arrivals into AXA at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

STT (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.23 in

AXA (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 70 · STT → AXA

Odds over time