Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 111 IN THE AIR (OFF 10:23 AM CEST, ETA 1:08 PM CT)
Today

AA 111 · FCO → ORD

took off 10:23 AM CEST · expected to land 1:08 PM CT (scheduled 9:59 AM CEST → 1:19 PM CT)
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 3h after departure

Odds over time

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
18% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.2d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Now Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

LIVE
  1. On time or early
    82%
  2. 15–30 min late
    18%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    <1%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    0%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.