Schedule: FAA flight plans.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1851
SCHEDULED
Today
AA 1851 · PHX → SAN
departs 10:58 AM MT · arrives 12:34 PM PT
Your aircraft is N412UW (A21N), coming in as AA 428 from ELP: landed 11:39 AM MT.
Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 1h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
100%
chance · ±0 pts
−9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
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How late will it get to SAN?
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On time or early
43%
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15–30 min late
15%
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30 min–1 hour late
14%
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1–2 hours late
20%
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Over 2 hours late
6%
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Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.