AA 2337 · SLC → PHL

took off 6:47 AM MT · expected to land 12:34 PM ET (scheduled 6:39 AM MT → 1:02 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PHL?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 27 kt, cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.7 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at PHL that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Gusts to 35 kt, 0.6 in of rain forecast at SLC that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from SLC are usually not late

Weather at each end

SLC (origin) Gusts35 kt Ceiling2,967 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.55 in

PHL (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.8 mi Precip1.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2337 · SLC → PHL

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHL?