AA 2447 · LGA → DFW

took off 3:28 PM ET · expected to land 5:31 PM CT (scheduled 3:22 PM ET → 6:16 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DFW?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 27 kt, cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.3 in of rain forecast at LGA that day

↑ 3pm departures from LGA are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.28 in

DFW (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2447 · LGA → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?