AA 2598 · DFW → GDL

took off 9:17 AM CT · landed 10:19 AM CST (scheduled 8:56 AM CT → 10:33 AM CST)

Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at GDL more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to GDL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↓ Gusts to 26 kt forecast at DFW that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

GDL (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2598 · DFW → GDL

Odds over time

How late did it get to GDL?