AA 512 · AUS → DFW

departs 6:59 AM CT · arrives 8:11 AM CT

Your aircraft is N148AN (A321), coming in as AA 2707 from DFW: landed 9:33 PM CT.

Forecast issued Sun 6:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Gusts to 26 kt forecast at DFW that day

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 512 · AUS → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?