tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 554 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Yesterday

AA 554 · PHX → PVR

departs 11:14 AM MT · arrives 2:54 PM CST
Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure
Arrive at PVR more than 15 minutes late?
39% chance · ±0 pts −7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.6d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to PVR?

  1. On time or early
    56%
  2. 15–30 min late
    8%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    8%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    13%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    7%
  6. Cancelled
    9%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.