Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AIR CANADA · FLIGHT AC 768 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 11 Yesterday

AC 768 · YYZ → BOS

departs 10:05 AM EDT · arrives 11:47 AM ET

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at YYZ that day

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 10am departures from YYZ are often late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

YYZ (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

BOS (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling740 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip1.23 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AC 768 · YYZ → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?