AF 24 · CDG → LAX

took off 1:41 PM CEST (scheduled 1:25 PM CEST → 4:31 PM PT)

Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±4 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CDG

↓ AF's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

CDG (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AF 24 · CDG → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?