AF 28 · CDG → LAX

took off 7:51 PM CEST (scheduled 7:30 PM CEST → 9:42 PM PT)

Forecast issued Sun 6:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±2 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
59%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CDG

↓ AF's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

CDG (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

LAX (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling1,700 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AF 28 · CDG → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?