Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AVIANCA · FLIGHT AV 43 LANDED 2:26 PM -05, ~175 MIN LATE
Yesterday

AV 43 · JFK → MDE

took off 9:59 AM ET · landed 2:26 PM -05 (scheduled 6:55 AM ET → 11:39 AM -05)
Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 15h after departure

Odds over time

Arrive at MDE more than 15 minutes late?
Late chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 5.5d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late did it get to MDE?

RESOLVED
  1. On time or early
    –
  2. 15–30 min late
    –
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    –
  4. 1–2 hours late
    –
  5. Over 2 hours late
    ✓

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.