B6 1533 · JFK → CTG

took off 9:42 AM ET · expected to land 1:04 PM -05 (scheduled 9:16 AM ET → 1:47 PM -05)

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at CTG more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to CTG?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ Gusts to 29 kt, cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at JFK that day

↑ JFK is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CTG

Weather at each end

JFK (origin) Gusts29 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.8 mi Precip0.92 in

CTG (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 1533 · JFK → CTG

Odds over time

How late will it get to CTG?