B6 717 · BOS → JFK

departs 12:45 PM ET · arrives 2:00 PM ET

Your aircraft is N3251J (BCS3), coming in as B6 1160 from PHL: landed 11:25 AM ET.

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?

65% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to JFK?

On time or early
34%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
29%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 29 kt, cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at JFK that day

↑ JFK is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 37% of the time recently

↓ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at BOS that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.18 in

JFK (destination) Gusts29 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.99 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 717 · BOS → JFK

Odds over time

How late will it get to JFK?