B6 751 · BOS → MCO

took off 8:31 AM ET · landed 11:11 AM ET (scheduled 8:12 AM ET → 11:28 AM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±2 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MCO?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at BOS that day

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.18 in

MCO (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 751 · BOS → MCO

Odds over time

How late did it get to MCO?