Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 8528
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 11 Yesterday
B6 8528 · JFK → PQI
departs 10:40 AM ET · arrives 12:26 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at PQI more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±0 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.4d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PQI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 40% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at PQI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to PQI?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 29 kt, cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at JFK that day
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
JFK is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into PQI at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 32 kt Ceiling 780 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 1.24 in
PQI (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.