BA 229 · LHR → BWI

departs 4:30 PM BST · arrives 7:42 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 6:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

34% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BWI?

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.7 mi, 1.4 in of rain forecast at BWI that day

↑ Arrivals into BWI at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LHR

↓ BWI usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

LHR (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BWI (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip1.32 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

BA 229 · LHR → BWI

Odds over time

How late will it get to BWI?