BA 289 · LHR → PHX

took off 4:48 PM BST · landed 7:12 PM MT (scheduled 4:10 PM BST → 7:11 PM MT)

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to PHX?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 35 kt forecast at PHX that day

↑ Arrivals into PHX at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LHR

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

LHR (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

PHX (destination) Gusts37 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.27 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

BA 289 · LHR → PHX

Odds over time

How late did it get to PHX?