Schedule: FAA flight plans.

COPA · FLIGHT CM 444 IN THE AIR (OFF 5:18 PM ET, ETA 8:27 PM EST)
Today

CM 444 · IAD → PTY

took off 5:18 PM ET · expected to land 8:27 PM EST (scheduled 4:41 PM ET → 8:36 PM EST)
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Odds over time

Arrive at PTY more than 15 minutes late?
4% chance · ±0 pts −14 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 5.9d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to PTY?

LIVE
  1. On time or early
    96%
  2. 15–30 min late
    4%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    <1%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    0%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.