CX 843 · JFK → HKG

took off 2:03 AM ET · expected to land 4:37 AM HKT (scheduled 1:58 AM ET → 5:36 AM HKT)

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at HKG more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to HKG?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ JFK is busy at that time

↑ 1am departures from JFK are often late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at HKG

Weather at each end

JFK (origin) Gusts29 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.8 mi Precip0.92 in

HKG (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

CX 843 · JFK → HKG

Odds over time

How late will it get to HKG?