Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CATHAY PACIFIC · FLIGHT CX 95 LANDED 8:45 AM HKT, ~10 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 11

CX 95 · JFK → HKG

took off 6:08 AM ET · landed 8:45 AM HKT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 16h after departure

Arrive at HKG more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±0 pts +12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ JFK is busy at that time

↑ JFK is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from JFK are usually not late

Weather at each end

JFK (origin) Gusts32 kt Ceiling780 ft Visibility1 mi Precip1.24 in

HKG (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

CX 95 · JFK → HKG

Odds over time