CZ 658 · SFO → CAN

took off 12:35 AM PT · expected to land 5:08 AM CST (scheduled 12:30 AM PT → 6:04 AM CST)

Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at CAN more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CAN?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ SFO is busy at that time

↑ CZ's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling1,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CAN (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

CZ 658 · SFO → CAN

Odds over time

How late will it get to CAN?