Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CONDOR · FLIGHT DE 80 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 11 Yesterday

DE 80 · FRA → LAX

departs 11:10 PM CEST · arrives 2:18 AM PT

Your aircraft is DANRP (A339).

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±4 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at FRA

↓ DE's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

FRA (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

LAX (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling1,700 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DE 80 · FRA → LAX

Odds over time