DL 1286 · ATL → JAN

took off 10:26 AM ET · landed 10:16 AM CT (scheduled 9:40 AM ET → 10:00 AM CT)

Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at JAN more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to JAN?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ ATL is busy at that time

↑ 9am departures from ATL are often late

↑ Other factors

↓ Arrivals into JAN at that hour are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.05 in

JAN (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1286 · ATL → JAN

Odds over time

How late did it get to JAN?