DL 1931 · SEA → PHX

left the gate 12:27 PM PT · taxiing (scheduled 12:04 PM PT → 2:55 PM MT)

Your aircraft is N3756 (B738), coming in as DL 2980 from LAX: landed 9:14 AM PT.

Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PHX?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 32 kt, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PHX that day

↑ Arrivals into PHX at that hour are often late

↑ PHX is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PHX (destination) Gusts36 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.39 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1931 · SEA → PHX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHX?