Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 25 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 11 Today

DL 25 · NCE → ATL

departs 10:17 AM CEST · arrives 2:25 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±1 pts +12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at ATL that day

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at NCE

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

NCE (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ATL (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 25 · NCE → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?