DL 2812 · MCO → LGA

departs 1:57 PM ET · arrives 4:34 PM ET

Your aircraft is N531DA (A21N), coming in as DL 2019 from JFK: landed 12:47 PM ET.

Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

73% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
26%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
24%
Over 2 hours late
14%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 27 kt, cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at LGA that day

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling3,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

LGA (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.91 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2812 · MCO → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?