Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3117
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 11 Yesterday
DL 3117 · ATL → JAN
departs 10:48 PM ET · arrives 11:09 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 1h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 10/11
Today 15%
Tue 10/13 4%
Odds over time
Arrive at JAN more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±1 pts
−8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
7.0d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at JAN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to JAN?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
10pm departures from ATL are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
ATL is busy at that time
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JAN
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.04 in
JAN (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.