DL 73 · AMS → ATL

took off 11:33 AM CEST · expected to land 3:14 PM ET (scheduled 10:26 AM CEST → 2:40 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 6:00 AM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ATL?

LIVE

On time or early
<1%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
84%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at ATL that day

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AMS

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

AMS (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ATL (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 73 · AMS → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?