DL 75 · AMS → ATL

took off 2:06 PM CEST · expected to land 5:29 PM ET (scheduled 1:21 PM CEST → 5:18 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

64% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ATL?

LIVE

On time or early
36%
15–30 min late
51%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AMS

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

AMS (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ATL (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 75 · AMS → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?