Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 9892
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 11 Today
DL 9892 · MEX → SLC
departs 10:32 AM CST · arrives 2:37 PM MT
Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
32%
chance · ±0 pts
+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
32%
Leave 15+ late
46%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Leave MEX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +30 pts in 24h
+30 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Arrive at SLC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SLC?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 35 kt, 0.6 in of rain forecast at SLC that day
↑
This route's recent record
↑
DL's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MEX
↓
SLC usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MEX (origin)
Gusts 8 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
SLC (destination)
Gusts 35 kt
Ceiling 3,833 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.43 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.