Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ETIHAD · FLIGHT EY 6 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 11 Today

EY 6 · IAD → AUH

departs 3:12 PM ET · arrives 11:31 AM +04

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at AUH more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±0 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AUH?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 1.6 in of rain forecast at IAD that day

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 3pm departures from IAD are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AUH

↓ Arrivals into AUH at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

IAD (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.7 mi Precip1.92 in

AUH (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

EY 6 · IAD → AUH

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUH?