F9 1093 · DEN → SFO

took off 4:58 PM MT · landed 6:15 PM PT (scheduled 4:29 PM MT → 6:21 PM PT)

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±2 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SFO?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 36% of the time recently

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ 4pm departures from DEN are often late

↓ DEN usually runs smoothly

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts29 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SFO (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 1093 · DEN → SFO

Odds over time

How late did it get to SFO?