Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1269 LANDED 7:17 PM CT, ~17 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 11

F9 1269 · ATL → DFW

took off 6:26 PM ET · landed 7:17 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±0 pts +17 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 34% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.04 in

DFW (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 1269 · ATL → DFW

Odds over time