Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 154
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 11 Today
G4 154 · GFK → LAS
departs 2:04 PM CT · arrives 3:18 PM PT
Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 1h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±3 pts
−27 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
38%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.6d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed −27 pts in 24h
−27 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave GFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed −24 pts in 24h
−24 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −33 pts in 24h
−33 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
24%
Over 2 hours late
13%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 35 kt, cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at LAS that day
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late
↓
GFK usually runs smoothly
↓
2pm departures from GFK are usually not late
Weather at each end
GFK (origin)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.04 in
LAS (destination)
Gusts 34 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2.5 mi Precip 1.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.