G4 1648 · BZN → LAS

departs 10:26 AM MT · arrives 11:40 AM PT

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

91% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
7%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
26%
Over 2 hours late
32%
Cancelled
18%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi, 1.5 in of snow forecast at BZN that day

↑ Gusts to 37 kt, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at LAS that day

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↓ BZN usually runs smoothly

↓ 10am departures from BZN are usually not late

Weather at each end

BZN (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precip1.66 in

LAS (destination) Gusts35 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip1.74 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 1648 · BZN → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?