Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 169
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 11 Yesterday
G4 169 · FLL → ABE
departs 11:38 AM ET · arrives 2:35 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at ABE more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±0 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.5d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ABE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at ABE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ABE?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 0.8 mi, 1.4 in of rain forecast at ABE that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 20% of the time recently
↓
Arrivals into ABE at that hour are usually not late
↓
ABE usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 3,000 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 1.18 in
ABE (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 1.52 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.